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Ukraine’s leadership reset will have a limited effect

Location:

UKRAINE

As with the February reshuffle of the military command, these changes have been presented as part of an effort to ‘reset’ decision-making and improve governance. The president's…

Tough economic challenges await Taiwan president-elect

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TAIWAN

The election in January of Lai Ching-te as president signalled continuity in economic policy, and economic pressure from Beijing has to date had limited effect. However, Lai faces…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Russia will struggle to expand West Africa gold mining

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WEST AFRICA

More recently, this has involved widely publicised claims that Russia is skirting international sanctions by using African gold from mines seized by proxy forces to help finance…

EU/UK financial trading risks need close monitoring

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EU/UK

Hedge funds are systemically important participants in financial markets and their preference for leverage amplifies their impact, especially when interest rate changes prompt…

Fiscal and external challenges lie ahead for Panama

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PANAMA

Panama has demonstrated resilience and maintained economic momentum, despite challenges such as reduced traffic through the drought-stricken Panama Canal and the closure, after…

Sudan's civil war will grind on

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SUDAN

Thousands of combatants and civilians have been killed, over 8 million people (around one-fifth of the population) have been displaced and 18 million face severe acute food…

Chinese firms will expand presence in South-east Asia

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CHINA/SOUTH-EAST ASIA

South-east Asia maintained its position as the largest recipient (40%) of China’s total Asia-Pacific engagement, which was valued at USD14.8bn, up USD12.4bn from 2022. In recent…

Czech-Slovak rift may limit Visegrad effectiveness

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CZECH/SLOVAKIA

The unprecedented move is the first rift since the two countries peacefully parted more than three decades ago. It came soon after the Visegrad Four (V4) of Czechia, Hungary…

Japan will be a policy pioneer for advanced nations

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

It took policymakers decades to tackle the consequences of the market crash, partly due to conservative caution; this experience has encouraged other states to be more…