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Right are slight favourites ahead of Portugal election

Location:

PORTUGAL

Costa’s Socialist Party (PS), which is now led by Pedro Nuno Santos, is tied in opinion polling with the centre-right opposition Democratic Alliance (AD). The far-right Chega is…

Latin American infrastructure funds will focus on Asia

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

This is the largest-ever fund aimed at improving integration on the continent, and comes at a pivotal moment for the Mercosur trade bloc, which is facing an existential crisis…

Asia ‘ex-China’ investment will struggle for traction

Location:

ASIA

There is sizeable demand for financial assets and products in Asia that exclude China. However, investor expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not cut interest rates…

Varying economic performance metrics muddy the outlook

Location:

UNITED STATES

Estimates of income rather than output, of household rather than firms' employment, and of real rather than nominal wages often diverge, but the gap has widened since the…

New rules may help consolidate Nigeria's banks

Location:

NIGERIA

The new regulations respond in part to the naira’s recent devaluation and depreciation, which have substantially shrunk domestic banking capital in dollar terms. It is the first…

Prospects for world trade and supply chains in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

This year is ending on a very weak note. The WTO and IMF both downgraded their forecasts for world trade in 2023 last month and their projections for stronger growth in 2024…

German spending crisis will have key implications

Location:

GERMANY

The ruling means there is a gap of at least EUR17bn (USD18.4bn) in next year’s spending that needs to be addressed. The coalition parties are divided on how to resolve the issue.

Interest rate uncertainty keeps pressure on US bonds

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The Fed and ECB seem set to diverge, with the latter expected to cut rates in June. There is a rising prospect, bolstered by the resilient US labour market and Middle East…

Greater policy support will boost China's economy

Location:

CHINA

Retail sales accelerated in annual terms, as consumption continues to lead economic expansion. However, investment slowed and exports fell back deeper into contraction. The…

Mongolian election will reconfigure politics

Location:

MONGOLIA

The introduction of proportional representation opens the way for more parties to enter the legislature. Parties and candidates have tactical decisions to make in a bid to…