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China’s AI chip industry will grow but still lag

Location:

CHINA

China is working hard to boost its domestic AI chip industry in response to US restrictions. The support significantly impacts the development of its entire AI sector, the…

Lebanese health and education woes risk instability

Location:

LEBANON

This is having highly negative economic and social consequences, with problematic implications for long-term growth and stability. The country’s already extreme inequality is…

Prospects for Black Sea security in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Russia’s regional maritime dominance is increasingly in question as its fleet is being eliminated one ship at a time by Ukrainian missiles and drones. This situation stands in…

China’s army will step up reform efforts

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CHINA

This was consistent with a long-running emphasis on preparing the PLA for future warfare that involves new types of informational and technological dynamics. One effect will be to…

India’s ruling party will be relaxed about polls

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INDIA

The final phase will be on June 1. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), aims to secure a third successive…

Tourism to drive Belize economic growth amid slowdown

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BELIZE

Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

Romania will not meet OECD goals by date set

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ROMANIA

The government regards joining the OECD as a national objective. Having opened accession negotiations in January 2022 and received its roadmap that June, the publication last…

Immigration is key to US job market and economic plans

Location:

UNITED STATES

Behind this workforce expansion is higher immigration that has allowed considerably more new jobs without raising real wages. Immigration explains some of the strength in…

Morocco will struggle to lift growth rates

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MOROCCO

This is below the medium-term target of average annual real GDP growth of 6%, with economic performance largely affected by poor agricultural harvests. There was a modest recovery…

Democratic slippages may fuel African coups

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AFRICA

Although support for democracy remains the norm, and has proven resilient over the last decade, the poor performance of civilian leaders has led to a waning commitment to the…