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El Salvador security improvements may not last

Location:

EL SALVADOR

President Nayib Bukele looks well placed to secure re-election even though doubts persist over the constitutionality of his running for a second consecutive term. His support is…

Paraguay's Pena will face major governance challenges

Location:

PARAGUAY

His inaugural speech displayed commitment to a right-wing economic strategy and pro-US foreign policy. However, it omitted two potential threats to governance: renegotiation of…

Belarus will remain a dictatorship after Lukashenka

Location:

BELARUS

Lukashenka has constructed a highly centralised and authoritarian system built on strong relations with Moscow. However, hopes for a more democratically inclined successor are…

New dynamics add to South Africa election uncertainty

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

However, readings of potential support for the main opposition Democratic Alliance (DA) and Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) differ. A plethora of small parties and independent…

Drug trafficking will worsen insecurity in Costa Rica

Location:

COSTA RICA

Security officials blame the spike in violence on the influence of drug trafficking organisations (DTOs), which have long transited the country but which increasingly are vying to…

Wagner leader poses a threat to Putin’s Russia

Location:

RUSSIA

On the back of his mercenaries’ success in Ukraine, he has used social media to berate the defence ministry, the general staff and Putin himself, albeit indirectly, as a doddery…

Organised crime will remain entrenched in Paraguay

Location:

PARAGUAY

They discussed collaboration in fighting international organised crime in Paraguay, a growing concern for Washington. Paraguay’s geopolitical role has expanded recently as it has…

Mexico’s Sheinbaum looks set to maintain AMLO’s legacy

Location:

MEXICO

The constitution prohibits President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) from standing again. However, given his continuing personal popularity and dominance of the ruling National…

Government may seek to soften Sierra Leone tensions

Location:

SIERRA LEONE

However, the hearing was immediately adjourned until March 6, while Koroma travels to Nigeria, officially on medical grounds. The cases against twelve other individuals for their…

Portugal faces period of heightened instability

Location:

PORTUGAL

AD won the March 10 election by a narrow margin, well short of a majority, with the outgoing Socialist Party (PS) a close second and the radical right Chega in third. Together…