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EU/UK financial trading risks need close monitoring

Location:

EU/UK

Hedge funds are systemically important participants in financial markets and their preference for leverage amplifies their impact, especially when interest rate changes prompt…

State asset sales will boost Romanian capital market

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ROMANIA

The sale is the largest initial public offering (IPO) in Europe this year and the largest on the Bucharest Stock Exchange (BVB). It has attracted new investors and increased…

Higher income and risks together tests bank regulators

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INTERNATIONAL

The failures of First Republic, Credit Suisse, Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) have put bank asset prices and deposits under pressure despite rising bank profits…

Profit-making will wane as US and EU inflation driver

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INTERNATIONAL

Headline consumer price inflation is edging down in the United States and the euro-area, but companies are accused of being slow to pass lower costs to consumers. These suspicions…

Low savings limit Japanese spending and GDP growth

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JAPAN

The economy slowed sharply in the second half of 2023. Consumption is lower than a decade ago, as a consequence of population ageing and insufficient savings, which reflects a…

Russia will trap foreign investors in a gilded cage

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RUSSIA

Foreign investors seeking to leave Russia face several serious challenges. One is Russian government legislation that imposes onerous losses on those who exit. Another is that…

Turkey’s policy uncertainty will worry investors

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TURKEY

The limited rate hike (annual core inflation is running at 47%) has undermined foreign investors’ hopes that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s new economic team would be free to…

Brazil overseas assets tax would support fiscal goals

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BRAZIL

The measures, presented by the government in August, envisage taxing “exclusive closed-end funds” belonging to individuals resident in Brazil (often just one investor or their…

Commercial property unlikely to spark a global crisis

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INT

The diversity of the asset class -- offices account for 17% of loans to commercial real estate, while the more resilient multifamily sector accounts for 44% -- and the illiquidity…

Egypt's external debt looms large

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EGYPT

Meanwhile, the government is struggling with significant accumulated debt, including USD11.8bn that is scheduled to be repaid to the IMF over the next two years alone. The IMF…