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North Korea's economy will withstand sanctions

Location:

NORTH KOREA

North Korea's economic performance casts doubt on the ability of sanctions to put meaningful pressure on Pyongyang

Germany’s political fragmentation will deepen

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GERMANY

Three new parties have been launched in Germany since the start of this year

African governments may face growing climate pressures

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AFRICA

Facing extreme weather events, Africans want more action to limit the impact of climate change

A complex coalition will dominate Congo’s parliament

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CONGO-KINSHASA

The ruling Sacred Union coalition controls parliament but comprises a patchwork of small parties

South Asia looks set for a turbulent election year

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SOUTH ASIA

Several key polls are on the horizon across the region

Cheap oil will persist despite international talks

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MENA

Beyond the hype, OPEC and Russia will struggle to agree an output freeze

EU enlargement faces public trust battle in Balkans

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BALKANS

After repeated delays, Western Balkan publics are less inclined to think that EU enlargement will bring them benefits

Muslim Brotherhood demands deter Middle East democracy

Location:

MENA

The targeting of the Muslim Brotherhood by Arab countries boycotting Qatar belies the movement’s parliamentary role

Post-Brexit EU security policy to be more constrained

Location:

EUROPE

Brexit means the loss of a key member state with an active and outward-looking security policy stance