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Lower near-term EM risks raise long-run opportunities

Location:

INT

The near-term risk of defaults in emerging market (EM) sovereign debt markets is easing

Building African vaccine capacity will take time

Location:

AFRICA

Efforts to build production capacity are emerging as supply deficits leave just 1% of Africans inoculated against COVID

Middle East FDI inflows will vary widely

Location:

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

Foreign direct investment (FDI) to the Middle East is limited by high barriers and political and security concerns

Overcoming the ‘middle-income’ trap is getting harder

Location:

INT

Population ageing makes it harder for the major emerging markets (EMs) to overcome the so-called ‘middle-income’ trap

South-east Asia’s digital economy will boom

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

The pandemic has permanently shifted consumers and businesses online across the world

Global governance reform will be hard in the Trump era

Location:

INT

Voting at international financial institutions does not reflect GDP trends, leaving emerging markets with little voice

Higher rates for longer will fuel corporate distress

Location:

INT

Firms need to repay or roll over some USD5.5tn of corporate debt obligations in 2024, with interest rates still high

Trade performance will be key to the recovery of GDP

Location:

INT

GDP contracted across the world in the second quarter and the shape and size of recession varied widely by region

Key risks and opportunities in 2016: 2

Location:

INTL

The pace of US monetary policy normalisation and China's slowdown will be key determinants of 2016 growth

Balance sheet wars will fire up among central banks

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

A look at the likely divergence of monetary policies around the world