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Sea-level rise to necessitate adaptation globally

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

With ongoing sea-level rise now considered inevitable, and climate change mitigation efforts serving only to limit, rather than avert, the risks, adaptation will be a necessity in…

Strains of war are beginning to show in Russia

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RUSSIA

The invasion of Ukraine is causing strains in Russian society to show, with opposition to another mobilisation and rising appetite for peace talks. The economy is overheating in…

Recovery of Russian consumption is likely to moderate

Location:

RUSSIA

Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…

El Salvador poverty will create problems for Bukele

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EL SALVADOR

President Nayib Bukele is highly popular, having implemented hard-line security policies that have reduced murder rates dramatically. He was re-elected in February by a landslide…

Climate adaptation action to strengthen globally

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INTERNATIONAL

This is likely to be the first indicator of a push to drive adaptation up the political agenda in 2024.

Polling suggests shifts in support among US voters

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UNITED STATES

Behind the headline numbers for their candidates, both major parties appear to be seeing a realignment in their support, with the Democratic coalition that secured Biden’s victory…

Canada's economy will affect political outlook in 2024

Location:

CANADA

The economy has not grown in the past two quarters and, on a per capita basis, has declined for six consecutive quarters. With the Bank of Canada ruling out interest rate cuts…

Brazil evangelical 'boom' will bring political change

Location:

BRAZIL

Some projections indicate that this group could outnumber Catholics for the first time by the early 2030s. Since the late 1980s, evangelicals have become increasingly active in…

Belarus will propagate more anti-Western narratives

Location:

BELARUS

A well-designed, powerful propaganda machine is being employed to manipulate public opinion and convince Belarusians that Russia is the sole protector of Belarus's imperilled…

Informal and illegal gold mining to endure in Bolivia

Location:

BOLIVIA

This sector has grown substantially with the rise in recent years of the world gold price, contributing to the rapid deforestation of the rainforest in the north of the country…