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Belgium should survive surge of Flemish far right

Location:

BELGIUM

The party’s core goals are to achieve independence for Flanders and implement significant restrictions regarding asylum and migration policy. Belgium’s mainstream parties have…

Egypt's economy will stand on firmer ground

Location:

EGYPT

Its actions included floating the currency, which triggered a major devaluation, and a 600-basis point increase in its benchmark interest rate to 27.75%. Meanwhile, the government…

Russian banks will face tougher conditions in 2024

Location:

RUSSIA

Banking sector profitability surged from RUB199bn (USD2.2bn) in 2022 to around RUB3.3tn in 2023. Rising profitability was generated by robust credit expansion, lower loan…

Egypt's budget sets ambitious revenue targets

Location:

EGYPT

The budget envisages an overall deficit of 7% of GDP, revised upwards from an earlier draft because of the effects of devaluation and higher interest rates on public debt…

Mexico’s high interest rates will support strong peso

Location:

MEXICO

The peso this month has hit its strongest nominal levels since April 2016, closing at MXN17.43:USD1 on May 15 -- an increase of MXN0.13 on the previous day. The accumulated…

Polish banks to stay stable despite Swiss-franc ruling

Location:

POLAND

Banks had hoped to share with borrowers the at-least USD5bn cost of making provision for Swiss franc mortgages. These mortgages were common prior to 2008, due to low interest…

Canada's economy will affect political outlook in 2024

Location:

CANADA

The economy has not grown in the past two quarters and, on a per capita basis, has declined for six consecutive quarters. With the Bank of Canada ruling out interest rate cuts…

Colombia’s economy faces sluggish growth in 2024

Location:

COLOMBIA

Expectations for 2024 suggest lower inflation than last year, but risks persist. The OECD forecasts moderate GDP growth, highlighting inflation and interest rate concerns. Minimum…

Turkey will reduce inflation gradually

Location:

TURKEY

Although the central bank has increased interest rates substantially since June 2023, the effects on economic activity and inflation have been limited. Prices and policy…

Interest rate uncertainty keeps pressure on US bonds

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The Fed and ECB seem set to diverge, with the latter expected to cut rates in June. There is a rising prospect, bolstered by the resilient US labour market and Middle East…