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Poland’s expected new government faces range of risks

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POLAND

Financial markets are betting that ending the Law and Justice (PiS) party’s eight-year rule will help unlock EU funds, strengthen Poland’s institutions and increase its…

Russia’s high-tech sector will receive more support

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RUSSIA

After being targeted by Western sanctions, Russia’s high-tech sector has been boosted by the new opportunities created by the government’s import substitution programme, the…

Uruguay's green hydrogen projects will face opposition

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URUGUAY

The plant would be Uruguay’s largest-ever private investment, providing an estimated 3,000 jobs and producing synthetic fuels including green gasoline and green methanol, a…

Nigeria intel failures will hinder counter-terrorism

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NIGERIA

Although criticisms targeting the DSS are long-standing, no recent Nigerian government has attempted major intelligence reforms.

Somalia and Turkey may struggle to realise oil deal

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SOMALIA/TURKEY

The deal builds on the recent ten-year agreement on maritime defence cooperation. Somalia is believed to have significant onshore and offshore oil and gas potential. However…

Saudi Aramco will seek to manage rapid industry change

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SAUDI ARABIA

Yet this follows a government directive that the company cancel increases in its maximum sustainable capacity (MSC) of crude oil production from 12 million barrels per day (b/d…

Tripling renewable power scale by 2030 is unfeasible

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INT

This means increasing wind and solar capacity more than threefold. Although solar photovoltaics (PV) could exceed expectations, wind power is unlikely to expand fast enough. As…

Seabed mining to advance despite climate risks

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INT

Various countries will increasingly permit or conduct seabed mining within their jurisdiction, while demand for metals for the green energy transition and international tensions…

Mexico’s Sheinbaum looks set to maintain AMLO’s legacy

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MEXICO

The constitution prohibits President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) from standing again. However, given his continuing personal popularity and dominance of the ruling National…

War in Ukraine will revive but not ease EU enlargement

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EUROPE

It proposes fast-tracking the EU membership applications of Ukraine, Moldova and (subject to conditions) Georgia, an unprecedented geopolitical decision. Its recommendations have…