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Youngkin's Virginia victory will be hard to replicate

Location:

UNITED STATES

There has been speculation that Youngkin, who generated support from both from former President Donald Trump's camp and moderate Republicans as well as some swing voters last…

Foreign policy promises may fall short in Argentina

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ARGENTINA

Foreign relations is one of the areas in which President Mauricio Macri promised the clearest policy shifts, prioritising pragmatism over ideology. The visits to Buenos Aires of…

Biden will stress regional economic development work

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UNITED STATES

With the economy a central issue for many voters, Biden is stressing his administration’s focus on place-based economic development (PBED), an approach to shaping the economic…

Finance institutions’ climate stress testing will grow

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INTERNATIONAL

Although there is agreement on baseline scenarios, modelling presents a huge challenge due to the unprecedentedly lengthy timescales, and there is a risk of significant divergence…

Prospects for the US economy in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Ensuing restrictions cast doubt on the prospects for sustaining the impressive third-quarter GDP rebound in the next two quarters. The recovery of employment and consumption could…

Russian air force will see more action despite flaws

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RUSSIA

It did not say how many, but stressed that production was on track despite Western sanctions. Russia's air force has suffered considerable losses of combat aircraft and…

South African mining sector faces further uncertainty

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SOUTH AFRICA

Mining sector improvement?

Near-term US outlook is solid, but clouds are building

Location:

UNITED STATES

Core personal consumption expenditure inflation is 4.7% year-on-year, above the 2.0% target. The economy is holding up, with the OECD now forecasting GDP growth of 1.5%, up from…

COVID-19 long-term effects raise healthcare burden

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INT

Significant time and resources have been diverted towards the COVID-19 response effort, with unparalleled levels of funding and collaboration. The initial focus has been on the…

Investor confidence in Turkey will rise slowly

Location:

TURKEY

The move is part of the government’s new more orthodox economic policy, which was adopted following President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s re-election in May. The change of policy…