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China’s economic targets will get trickier to achieve

Location:

CHINA

The GDP growth target of 5% and the urban job creation target of 12 million are unchanged from last year, but harder to achieve as the post-pandemic rebound fades and large-scale…

Ukrainian military reshuffle is a gamble for Zelensky

Location:

UKRAINE

The appointment of General Oleksandr Syrsky as Zaluzhny's replacement and of other senior officers to the military command is the greatest political change in Ukraine since the…

Russian airlines will recover slowly from sanctions

Location:

RUSSIA

The imposition of Western sanctions on Russia’s commercial aviation sector in response to the full-scale invasion of Ukraine led some to predict the collapse of the industry…

Ukrainian grain dispute is likely to drag on

Location:

UKRAINE

A glut of Ukrainian agricultural products has driven down prices in neighbouring countries, prompting several governments to impose unilateral import bans. Protests by Polish…

Nigeria may face challenges clearing forex backlogs

Location:

NIGERIA

The budget is built on unduly optimistic assumptions. Meanwhile, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is seeking loans to help clear foreign exchange (forex) backlogs while…

War threatens Russia’s position as arms exporter

Location:

RUSSIA

A combination of the threat of US sanctions, shifting patterns of demand on international markets, and the growing demands of Russia’s own military has caused arms exports to…

Poland’s policy on farm protests may shift after polls

Location:

POLAND

The latest protests coincide with the Donald Tusk government’s first 100 days and scrutiny of his performance as prime minister. Most polls indicate continuing support for the…

Japan will raise defence spending and cut deficits

Location:

JAPAN

The budget is likely to be enacted by the end of the current fiscal year in March 2024. Rapidly increasing military spending reflects drastic changes in Tokyo’s defence policy. On…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…

Peru's growth will remain sluggish this year

Location:

PERU

The economy is increasingly dependent on the mining sector and on mineral sales to China. The domestic economy remains hampered by depressed internal demand.