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Varying economic performance metrics muddy the outlook

Location:

UNITED STATES

Estimates of income rather than output, of household rather than firms' employment, and of real rather than nominal wages often diverge, but the gap has widened since the…

Recovery of Russian consumption is likely to moderate

Location:

RUSSIA

Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…

Low savings limit Japanese spending and GDP growth

Location:

JAPAN

The economy slowed sharply in the second half of 2023. Consumption is lower than a decade ago, as a consequence of population ageing and insufficient savings, which reflects a…

Romania will not meet OECD goals by date set

Location:

ROMANIA

The government regards joining the OECD as a national objective. Having opened accession negotiations in January 2022 and received its roadmap that June, the publication last…

Dominican monetary policies pave way for growth

Location:

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

The relative sluggishness is due partly to the delayed impacts of financial tightening and reduced global demand. While domestic demand has been the primary engine of growth, the…

No end in sight for Japan’s economic stagnation

Location:

JAPAN

Lower household consumption, residential investment and companies’ capital investment all contributed to the 2.9% (annualised) contraction. Although inflation is decelerating…

Any recovery from the UK recession will be very modest

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Government measures to boost the economy, including tax cuts in November, are having little effect. There is little scope for further stimulus in the March budget. Political…

Russia's construction boom is likely to moderate

Location:

RUSSIA

The completion of residential housing units reached a post-Soviet record of 110 million square metres. This strong expansion in construction activity was demand-led, stimulated by…

China will step up anti-graft in healthcare

Location:

CHINA

The authorities investigated over 200 leading healthcare figures between January and mid-November, compared to just twelve in 2019-22. They may be seeking to combat illegal…

Right are slight favourites ahead of Portugal election

Location:

PORTUGAL

Costa’s Socialist Party (PS), which is now led by Pedro Nuno Santos, is tied in opinion polling with the centre-right opposition Democratic Alliance (AD). The far-right Chega is…