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Eastern Europe's rate policies diverge with Czech cut

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

Interest rate uncertainty keeps pressure on US bonds

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INTERNATIONAL

The Fed and ECB seem set to diverge, with the latter expected to cut rates in June. There is a rising prospect, bolstered by the resilient US labour market and Middle East…

Slow growth may hit trust in Colombia’s government

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COLOMBIA

Government spending levels depend on those of individual ministries, some of which spent remarkably little last year, raising questions about budgetary decision-making. Recent…

Ageing will drive social care demands in Latin America

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LATIN AMERICA

Latin America’s population is ageing rapidly amid declining birth rates and rising life expectancy. This is driving a need for urgent action to prevent demographic changes…

Peru's growth will remain sluggish this year

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PERU

The economy is increasingly dependent on the mining sector and on mineral sales to China. The domestic economy remains hampered by depressed internal demand.

Nigeria will struggle to boost food output

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NIGERIA

This is up from nearly 19 million people in 2023. The crisis has worsened in recent weeks with major food and cost-of-living protests erupting across several states, as well as…

Slow and stuttering rebound for global manufacturing

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INTERNATIONAL

Growth rates are strongest in the Americas, China, India and the Middle East. However, disruptions in the Red Sea and Panama Canal, and now the closure of the port of Baltimore…

Australian foreign property rules are mainly political

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AUSTRALIA

The new rules, which include steeper taxes on foreign purchases of existing domestic properties, are part of a Labor strategy intended to free up more housing stock. The…

Early Argentine economic successes are unsustainable

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ARGENTINA

The government has posted the first fiscal surplus in years, inflation has declined and foreign currency reserves have risen from USD21.0bn in mid-December to USD28.5bn. However…

Recovery of Russian consumption is likely to moderate

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RUSSIA

Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…