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India’s ruling party will be relaxed about polls

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INDIA

The final phase will be on June 1. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), aims to secure a third successive…

Global AI regulations will diverge

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INT

Despite a strong Chinese push on AI innovation, Beijing’s regulatory approach to AI sharply contrasts with the approaches of Western digital economies, notably the United States…

Religious freedom will slowly expand in Vietnam

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VIETNAM

Catholics are a sizeable minority religious group in the country, numbering roughly 7 million out of a population of nearly 100 million. Vietnam and the Vatican have not had…

Israel will carefully calibrate its Iran retaliation

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ISRAEL

The assault caused almost no damage after a combined air defence including the United States and other allies intercepted nearly all the projectiles. Nonetheless, it was Iran’s…

Syria’s Islamic State legacy problem could go critical

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SYRIA

It claimed to be avenging SDF treatment of detainees at Al-Hol camp, which holds thousands of women and children linked to IS. Ongoing security threats and regional dynamics are…

Tokyo and Washington will step up defence cooperation

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JAPAN/US

Kishida and Biden hailed a historic upgrade in defence ties and announced a record volume of around 70 agreements, spanning various sectors.

Ethiopia may fail to deliver on transitional justice

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ETHIOPIA

The policy includes some changes from the justice ministry’s initial draft, most significantly the removal of a proposal for a special court to prosecute the most serious crimes…

Pyongyang’s Beijing and Moscow ties will be complex

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NORTH KOREA/CHINA/RUSSIA

The PoE has since 2009 reported regularly on North Korea’s violations of UN Security Council (UNSC) sanctions. Beijing and Moscow are resisting an ineffective UN sanctions…

Iran is approaching the limits of its oil expansion

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IRAN

Iran’s increasingly skilled sanctions evasion (aided by less intense US enforcement) has made it the second-largest contributor to higher global oil output over the past year…

Russian foreign influencer campaigns are evolving

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INT

In recent months, multiple European intelligence services have issued warnings of increased efforts by Russian state organisations to undermine social cohesion in Europe via…