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Internet shutdowns raise risks across Global South

Location:

INT

Governments across the developing world are regularly shutting down online communication to restore political control

Widening global imbalances raise geopolitical risks

Location:

INT

The German and US external balances have worsened while China, Russia and Saudi Arabia’s surpluses have improved

Bullish and bearish China growth view is reconcilable

Location:

CHINA

China analysts are diverging between those growing more negative on the long-run prospects and those remaining bullish

Venezuelan isolation raises a range of grave risks

Location:

VENEZUELA

The country has rowed back from a more activist global role since the death of President Hugo Chavez

Trump will face a more precarious global nuclear order

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UNITED STATES

The president-elect's first term will require deft management of regional disputes weighted with nuclear risks

Ponderous policies mean integration will lag migration

Location:

INT

Migration will worry European Parliament election voters in May, but policy can adapt to use inbound workers effectively

Weak long-run growth raises risks to the world economy

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Global GDP will grow by less this decade than the past unless there is a surprise uptick in productivity

Israel-Hamas war risks serious global impact

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ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS

The war has created domestic security, military and economic risks for state supporters of both Israel and Palestine

Global public is polarised but not ‘post-truth’

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INT

Anxiety that people across the world now care less about truth and facts is overblown

Privacy and security policies lag biometric data use

Location:

INT

People are submitting vast amounts of biometric data to governments and private firms, knowingly and unknowingly