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Central bank policies diverge amid political strains

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INTERNATIONAL

This creates a clear contextual divide, ahead of consequential European Parliament, US and UK elections in 2024. The inability of the central banks to forecast inflation or growth…

Immunity issue will raise Paraguay governance fears

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PARAGUAY

Abdo Benitez (in office 2018-23) faces charges of revealing state secrets. The motion was halted after the majority Honor Colorado faction of the Colorado Party left the session…

Lebanon will bargain for more Syrian refugee returns

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LEBANON/SYRIA

The country’s economic crisis and the Christian community's demographic fears have increased anti-refugee sentiment, which politicians weaponised around the May 2022 elections. In…

Ethiopia-Egypt water dispute requires tough compromise

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ETHIOPIA/EGYPT

The dam project, situated near the source of the Blue Nile, has long been a centrepiece of Ethiopia’s development plans, but also a major source of tension with downstream…

French riots have potential to cause long-term effects

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FRANCE

The riots appeared to abate and then almost cease on the nights of July 1 and 2 but the situation remains extremely tense and authorities fear that a new escalation is possible.

Renewed rate rises raise risk of more financial shocks

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INTERNATIONAL

While headline inflation in the United States and the euro-area has fallen steadily, core inflation remains stubborn. The ‘last mile’ of the disinflation process will be the most…

New law tightens state control in Kyrgyzstan

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KYRGYZSTAN

The amendments introduce the new legal concept of ‘foreign representative’. The bill was signed into law on April 2 and will apply to all NPOs that receive foreign funding and…

Attacks on Russian refineries will cause oil shortages

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RUSSIA

The rising frequency of drone attacks is raising the risk of oil product shortages within Russia. Already Western sanctions on the supply of spare parts had made the maintenance…

Congo heads towards a contested election

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CONGO-KINSHASA

President Felix Tshisekedi seeks re-election after coming to power five years ago in controversial circumstances. There are credible fears that these polls could prove equally…

Peru's Chancay port project will bring controversies

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PERU

It purports to provide not only an improved channel for trade for Peruvian exporters but a hub for regional trade along the western coast from Colombia to Chile. It is exciting US…