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Middle East FDI inflows will vary widely

Location:

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

Foreign direct investment (FDI) to the Middle East is limited by high barriers and political and security concerns

Globalisation evolves as FDI and supply chains shift

Location:

INT

Friend-shoring is outstripping near-shoring in the remaking of supply chains

FDI into clean energy risks crowding out needy sectors

Location:

INT

Global FDI rebounded to USD1.65tn in 2021, driven by strong flows to developing economies and especially to clean energy

Political and pandemic worries hit South America’s FDI

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

The ongoing impact of COVID-19 and pre- and post-election doubts in some countries will limit recovery in FDI this year

FDI may drive renewables in Latin America

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Renewable energy has become a key target for inward FDI in the region, especially from the EU

A China crisis is bigger systemic threat than markets

Location:

INT

China’s influence on the global real economy is a bigger risk than events in fragile Italy, Turkey and Argentina

Wages in EU's East will not catch up with West soon

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

EU11 labour costs have climbed in the past decade but at current rates will not reach the EU28 average until the 2040s

Demography could time-limit China's ascendancy

Location:

INT

Sizeable economic and population shifts will occur among the largest economies in coming decades

Latin America tax evasion will strain state funds

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

VAT evasion alone amounted to some 2.4% of Latin America’s GDP in 2015 -- roughly the region’s estimated growth for 2017

US-China tariffs will prompt supply chain switching

Location:

INT

Industrial policy in both countries aims to stimulate indigenous manufacturing