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EU/UK financial trading risks need close monitoring

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EU/UK

Hedge funds are systemically important participants in financial markets and their preference for leverage amplifies their impact, especially when interest rate changes prompt…

New Brazil industrial plan will face uncertainties

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BRAZIL

The plan covers six priority areas: agro-industry, health, infrastructure and mobility, digital transformation, bio-economy and defence. Most of the BRL300bn (USD60bn) in…

Prospects for the global economy in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Weak trade and fiscal policy constraints suggest global GDP growth will slow somewhat in 2024, with China and the United States losing momentum. Hopes for growth-boosting rate…

US oil and gas sector stays strong under Biden for now

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UNITED STATES

President Joe Biden has adopted a gradual approach to replacing fossil fuels with renewable resources, but a second term would see him under greater pressure to address record…

Election tensions threaten South Sudan's stability

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SOUTH SUDAN

However, in a context of low trust and weak institutions, the move towards elections increases the risk of violence before, during and after the polls.

EU sets out ambitious carbon management strategy

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EU

The proposals represent a major shift towards activism in the EU’s approach to Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS). Demand will come from storage sites and the production of…

Reform failure may strengthen centrist hopes in Chile

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CHILE

This followed the rejection of a left-wing proposal in September 2022 and marks the failure of efforts, initiated in late 2019 in response to widespread social protests, to…

Slow growth may hit trust in Colombia’s government

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COLOMBIA

Government spending levels depend on those of individual ministries, some of which spent remarkably little last year, raising questions about budgetary decision-making. Recent…

Inert anodes offer aluminium decarbonisation advance

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INT

Highlighting the importance of decarbonising the sector, demand for aluminium is expected to rise by 40% by 2030. Decarbonisation of alumina refining is dependent on renewable…

Honduras frustrations over lack of reforms will mount

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HONDURAS

Slow progress in enacting reforms is fostering frustration among those who had hoped that Castro would prompt substantial change when she came to power two years ago. Her tax…