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Higher interest rates will stress real estate activity

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

House prices have risen by 15% in emerging nations since end-2019 and 26% in advanced nations but price growth will slow

Risks and opportunities 2021: Global economy

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INTERNATIONAL

Economic and health policies are key to the West and many developing nations emerging swiftly from double-dip recession

Debt crisis risks are growing in many emerging markets

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EMERGING MARKETS

Many emerging markets, whether eligible for the G20 debt relief schemes or not, could follow Sri Lanka into debt default

High-debt, low-rates trend may trap poorer nations

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INT

The Fed and ECB have confirmed they will keep policy loose through 2019, but this may encourage more debt take-up

The emerging markets recovery will be fragile

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INT

Economic disruption has lasted longer for EMDCs than for advanced economies and China; this will hinder their prospects

Demography and past austerity raise the COVID-19 risks

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INT

COVID-19 particularly threatens the elderly; ageing populations and years of post-crisis austerity leave nations at risk

Stimulating skills is key to emerging markets growth

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INT

Human capital will become as key to low-to-mid-income countries as it is for high-income ones

Demographic trends will shape economic prospects

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INT

Transforming the world economy by 2040, working-age population growth will come almost entirely from lower-income states

The world economic downturn will be mild but prolonged

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INT

Core CPI is easing towards 2% official targets in major nations, but not fast enough for rate cuts to boost 2024 growth

Some emerging-market polls promise surprises

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INT

Numerous countries face elections in 2023, which will bring both continuity and uncertainty