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Russian trade ties limit scope for Belarus ‘divorce’

Location:

BELARUS

Bilateral tensions boil over into vocal recriminations, but economic bonds remain firm

Ireland’s dependence on foreign companies is growing

Location:

IRELAND

Last year foreign companies generated over five times more profits compared with Irish businesses

Recent services volatility reflects structural changes

Location:

INT

Still-high services prices continue to constrain monetary policy easing amid post-pandemic shifts in spending patterns

Risks and opportunities 2021: Former Soviet states

Location:

CIS

As the former Soviet space reels under COVID’s economic impact, more states are in conflict or political turmoil

Climate change GDP risk is high regardless of income

Location:

INT

A new study overrules past suggestions that poorer, tropical nations will lose more GDP to the impacts of climate change

Chinese-made electric cars will attract Western wrath

Location:

INT

Chinese-manufactured BEVs are cheaper than Western models, accounting for nearly 10% of EU sales and 50% of imports

Africa’s Belt and Road will follow beaten path

Location:

AFRICA-CHINA

Despite the rhetoric, China is not offering Africa a new development model, but its engagement remains unique

Pride and politics will push Turkey to recession

Location:

TURKEY

A sudden deterioration in US-Turkish relations has plunged Turkey into a debt and liquidity crisis

German exports may remain strong despite Brexit, Trump

Location:

GERMANY

Germany competes primarily on quality, but the weak euro has also improved its price competitiveness

Long-term refugee problems may mould the Middle East

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Refugees and IDPs who do not return home within six months have a high probability of protracted displacement