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Middle East tourism depends on socio-political factors

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Tourism, a key driver of Middle Eastern economies, is recovering slowly from the COVID-19-induced lows of April 2020

For recovery to firm, Greek domestic demand must rise

Location:

GREECE

The Greek economy grew by 2.3% year-on-year in January-March, encouraging hopes of a sustained recovery

Short-haul leisure travel leads the tourism recovery

Location:

INT

Tourism should rebound by 2024; structural shifts mean the shape and pace of the rebound will vary by region and sector

Succession risks dot the sub-Saharan map

Location:

AFRICA

Sub-Saharan countries will confront a series of succession risks in the coming years

Egypt’s foreign policy will be a balancing act

Location:

EGYPT

Cairo’s anti-Islamism jars with chief backer Saudi Arabia, but brings it closer to the United Arab Emirates and Russia

Ukraine war poses particularly strong risks for Italy

Location:

EUROPE

The economic impact of war in Ukraine threatens to fuel political instability ahead of the election

Turkey to flirt with crisis despite its net trade boom

Location:

TURKEY

Erdogan’s export-led GDP policy has supported five quarters of 6%+ GDP growth, but the lira has plunged since September

COVID-19 impacts will differ across Central America

Location:

CENTRAL AMERICA

Infections, deaths and responses have varied dramatically regionwide, with the richest country by far the worst hit

US-Mexico border links set to strengthen

Location:

MEXICO

With migration reversing, violence falling, infrastructure improving and trade growing, cross-border ties look healthy