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Risks and opportunities 2021: Global economy

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INTERNATIONAL

Economic and health policies are key to the West and many developing nations emerging swiftly from double-dip recession

Coal use will be a source of global climate tensions

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INTERNATIONAL

The Glasgow Climate Pact is the first climate deal explicitly to address coal reduction, but that has been overshadowed

Prospects for emerging economies in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) face a cocktail of crises and global tensions will curb remedial action

FDI into clean energy risks crowding out needy sectors

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INT

Global FDI rebounded to USD1.65tn in 2021, driven by strong flows to developing economies and especially to clean energy

Debt crisis risks are growing in many emerging markets

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EMERGING MARKETS

Many emerging markets, whether eligible for the G20 debt relief schemes or not, could follow Sri Lanka into debt default

The job dislocation of COVID-19 will reduce global GDP

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INTERNATIONAL

The more jobs that are lost worldwide this year, the more disjointed the economic recovery will initially be

Prosperity and sustainability show little correlation

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INT

The mismatch between economic prosperity and environmental sustainability impedes national and global climate action

Pandemic fuelled uptake of digital tools but unevenly

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INT

Pandemic-linked disruptions brought millions of new people online for the first time but wide gaps persist

Race for key minerals will affect economic prospects

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INTERNATIONAL

Critical minerals supply will be key to all economies’ prospects ahead just as fossil fuel trade balances have been

CBDCs would redirect remittances from cryptos

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INT

Major remittance recipients are seeing a surge in crypto transactions