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Rabat’s maritime sector will help geopolitical aims

Location:

MOROCCO

Existing conditions facilitate this: the country's open economy is highly dependent on foreign trade, it enjoys access to Mediterranean and Atlantic routes and ongoing…

EU will be assertive with new trade defence tools

Location:

EU

First cases pursued under the FSR show it could be one of the most far-reaching of the strategic autonomy measures introduced under this Commission. One Chinese company has…

China set for near-5% growth amid imbalances and risks

Location:

CHINA

Quarter-on-quarter growth accelerated to 1.6%, from 1.2% previously. A 6% year-on-year expansion in the secondary sector -- manufacturing and construction -- led the growth, while…

Romania will not meet OECD goals by date set

Location:

ROMANIA

The government regards joining the OECD as a national objective. Having opened accession negotiations in January 2022 and received its roadmap that June, the publication last…

Russia will struggle to expand West Africa gold mining

Location:

WEST AFRICA

More recently, this has involved widely publicised claims that Russia is skirting international sanctions by using African gold from mines seized by proxy forces to help finance…

Pyongyang’s Beijing and Moscow ties will be complex

Location:

NORTH KOREA/CHINA/RUSSIA

The PoE has since 2009 reported regularly on North Korea’s violations of UN Security Council (UNSC) sanctions. Beijing and Moscow are resisting an ineffective UN sanctions…

China’s defence spending will remain stable

Location:

CHINA

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

Slow and stuttering rebound for global manufacturing

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Growth rates are strongest in the Americas, China, India and the Middle East. However, disruptions in the Red Sea and Panama Canal, and now the closure of the port of Baltimore…

EU/UK financial trading risks need close monitoring

Location:

EU/UK

Hedge funds are systemically important participants in financial markets and their preference for leverage amplifies their impact, especially when interest rate changes prompt…

Rising Russian investment will cause structural change

Location:

RUSSIA

The war in Ukraine, Western sanctions and the redirection of external trade away from Europe towards new partners all required a surge in investment. The bulk of new investment…