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Big tech’s share of some finance segments will surge

Location:

INT

The network-to-activity loop lets ‘big tech’ firms gain market share quickly, but the loop may be vicious not virtuous

Afghan conflict and drugs fuel one another

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Revenues from the heroin business keep the Taliban solvent and reduce economicpressure for peace

Health preparedness and trade affect COVID-19 exposure

Location:

INT

Although health systems are crucial in mitigating the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, trade exposure is also key

Popularity will perpetuate El Salvador gang crackdown

Location:

EL SALVADOR

The president is hailing dramatically reduced homicide rates, but peace is coming at a heavy cost

Non-bank finance faultlines may fuel explosive crises

Location:

INT

Non-bank financial entities hold half of financial assets, are highly leveraged, and are far less regulated than banks

Dynamic UK economy will continue to need immigrants

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

A tightening UK labour market has jobs for UK-born as well as foreigners

Demography will impact Arab world employment

Location:

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

Demographic trends will test the ability of governments to bring down youth unemployment rates

Shadow governance to deepen weak African state control

Location:

AFRICA

The preponderance of weak states in sub-Saharan Africa provides ample scope for non-state actors to seize territory