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Pennsylvania tests Biden’s ability to hold coalition

Location:

UNITED STATES

In Pennsylvania, President Joe Biden needs to hold together a Democratic coalition that is losing blue-collar voters

Georgia will test Biden’s appeal to younger voters

Location:

UNITED STATES

Georgia, which Biden barely won in 2020, is a major test of his ability to retain support among younger voters

Demography will impact Arab world employment

Location:

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

Demographic trends will test the ability of governments to bring down youth unemployment rates

Arab states will struggle to reduce youth unemployment

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

State dominance and high birth rates undermine regional states' ability to create enough jobs for the young

North Korea's economy will withstand sanctions

Location:

NORTH KOREA

North Korea's economic performance casts doubt on the ability of sanctions to put meaningful pressure on Pyongyang

Mozambican disasters will exacerbate social woes

Location:

MOZAMBIQUE

The impact of two tropical cyclones will be wide-ranging

Ukraine will lobby harder for long-range strikes

Location:

UKRAINE

Kyiv believes that permission to conduct long-range strikes on Russian territory could boost its military fortunes

Asymmetry between Russia and China will increase

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia’s economic dependence on China has grown since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022

Decline in media freedom imperils democracy

Location:

INT

Media and internet freedoms are declining in major democracies

Key risks and opportunities in 2016: 1

Location:

INTL

The new year promises geopolitical complexity and volatility for businesses and investors alike