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Risks and opportunities, 2017: Part 1

Location:

INT

Geopolitical stress will be widespread as the world re-orders

Population change will have an uneven impact in Europe

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EUROPE

Ageing population dynamics will pose different social, economic and political challenges for European governments

Droughts pose serious socio-economic risks in Mexico

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MEXICO

Mexico has long been prone to droughts, but this year’s have been particularly serious

Germany’s exports will continue to struggle

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GERMANY

High energy prices and cooling foreign demand, particularly from China, are hurting Germany’s trade position

Georgia US Senate run-offs will be crucial for policy

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UNITED STATES

If the Republicans win at least one of Georgia’s US Senate seats, they will be able to frustrate Democrats’ aims

Ambitious plans set China's course to 2049

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CHINA

Long-term goals shape thinking of current policymakers in and outside China despite vulnerability to 'black swans'

Non-US, non-tariff protectionism is rising rapidly

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INT

Fears abound about US-China tariffs, but rising non-US, non-tariff trade nationalism posesa larger threat to world GDP

The intra-Gulf war will be a battle of reputations

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GULF STATES

As Qatar and its foes settle into a long-term enmity, they are increasingly concerned about international appearances

Land misuse will pose long-term security threats

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INTERNATIONAL

Food insecurity, natural disasters, poverty and population displacement could all worsen, exacerbating conflict risks

Economic risks overshadowed, not extinguished

Location:

INT

Environmental risks dominate the World Economic Forum's global survey ahead of its January 23-26 Davos meeting