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Mexico expropriation risk may rise as AMLO term ends

Location:

MEXICO

The move was not altogether unexpected, with the energy ministry having previously hinted it was possible. It nevertheless feeds concerns that the outgoing administration of…

Pakistan will be optimistic about its IMF talks

Location:

PAKISTAN

Islamabad now seeks a larger, longer-term bailout programme with the Fund. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has suggested that a staff-level agreement on such a package could…

Evolution in cybercrime needs security upgrades

Location:

INT

These trends include the rise in ‘double extortion’ ransomware attacks and supply chain attacks to obtain sensitive data and infiltrate computer networks through widely used…

Russia's overheating economy will cool

Location:

RUSSIA

Soaring government spending, driven by the war in Ukraine, has pushed economic activity beyond levels many thought possible given the available supply of labour and capital. Yet…

Expropriation risks for foreigners in Russia will rise

Location:

RUSSIA

Operating restrictions on Western firms since 2022 have expanded into expropriation risks over the last year. This month Putin signed a decree to authorise the seizure of US…

Dominican election result points to stability

Location:

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

His Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) did similarly well, securing its largest-ever Senate majority and taking a majority in the Chamber of Deputies. Success was built on a strong…

Mexico’s budgetary pressures will keep growing

Location:

MEXICO

The budget deficit is increasing markedly and will probably top 6% of GDP in 2024 -- the highest level since the late 1980s -- while economic growth remains in the 2-3% range.

Russian aircraft plan will face serious obstacles

Location:

RUSSIA

With sanctions barring access to Western aircraft, Moscow intends to develop fully indigenous production and to replace hundreds of foreign-built airliners with domestic…

Outlook is bright for key leftist leader in Sri Lanka

Location:

SRI LANKA

According to the constitution, the poll must take place in September-October. The JVP was formed as a Marxist-Leninist party. Recent opinion polling suggests Dissanayake would be…

Kenya’s new budget targets significantly lower deficit

Location:

KENYA

After redeeming much of its USD2bn Eurobond in February, the government has effectively dispelled fears of a default. Nevertheless, it remains under pressure to consolidate public…