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East Europeans will gain influence on Western security

Location:

EUROPE

She implied that the role should go to someone from Central-Eastern Europe (CEE). Von der Leyen’s message emphasises how far the balance in decision-making on European security…

Ukraine’s leadership reset will have a limited effect

Location:

UKRAINE

As with the February reshuffle of the military command, these changes have been presented as part of an effort to ‘reset’ decision-making and improve governance. The president's…

Canada faces a likelihood of increased Arctic activity

Location:

CANADA

The extent to which climatic conditions are opening the Arctic to shipping is illustrated by the prospect of Russian tankers that are not designed for Arctic conditions using the…

Peru cabinet reshuffle will bring little policy change

Location:

PERU

Boluarte has reshuffled some key cabinet posts, including the portfolios of defence, economy and finance, and energy and mines. The main purpose of the changes is to shore up…

Abu Dhabi will leverage post-UNSC soft power

Location:

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

It struggled with this goal during two turbulent years that saw permanent UNSC members divided over significant conflicts. Nonetheless, the UAE was an engaged Security Council…

Gulf states: Western investment drive will accelerate

Location:

GULF STATES

This trend was sustained in 2023 with USD23bn worth of investments in US markets alone. However, Gulf investments are subject increasingly to greater Western scrutiny because of…

Gaza will strain but not break Gulf-Iranian detente

Location:

GULF STATES

While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…

Russian foreign influencer campaigns are evolving

Location:

INT

In recent months, multiple European intelligence services have issued warnings of increased efforts by Russian state organisations to undermine social cohesion in Europe via…

War in Ukraine will revive but not ease EU enlargement

Location:

EUROPE

It proposes fast-tracking the EU membership applications of Ukraine, Moldova and (subject to conditions) Georgia, an unprecedented geopolitical decision. Its recommendations have…

Noboa’s youthful Ecuadoran government faces challenges

Location:

ECUADOR

Rather than serving a full term, he will complete that of his predecessor, Guillermo Lasso, who took office in 2021 but stood down early, having run into congressional gridlock…