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Ruling parties will largely win 2024 African elections

Location:

AFRICA

This was the first in a series of major presidential elections in Africa scheduled for this year, some of which will also face serious legitimacy concerns. Few are expected to…

Election tensions threaten South Sudan's stability

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

However, in a context of low trust and weak institutions, the move towards elections increases the risk of violence before, during and after the polls.

Local elections compound UK ruling party’s woes

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The party also lost key mayoralty contests and a by-election in Blackpool South that featured the third-largest swing from the Conservatives to the opposition Labour Party since…

Pressure on Japan’s prime minister will mount

Location:

JAPAN

This hurts Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s credibility within the LDP and the wider nation. A change of government following the next general election would be the first in over…

French president faces jeopardy in EU elections

Location:

FRANCE

President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist Renaissance movement fell slightly to 16.5%. Opinion polls have been consistent for several weeks now, with RN appearing set for its…

Reform UK could impact next election outcome

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

As Reform is polling nationally at 13% and has performed strongly in recent by-elections, the defection is a blow to the Conservatives' chances of retaining voters in former…

Electoral manipulation weakens Zimbabwe’s opposition

Location:

ZIMBABWE

The episode is being widely interpreted as a ploy by the ruling ZANU-PF party to engineer a two-thirds parliamentary majority, which it failed to secure in the August 2023…

Serbian leader may rue unexpectedly large election win

Location:

SERBIA

The elections, just 20 months after the last ones, resulted in a larger-than-expected victory for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS), which regained the parliamentary…

Nigeria court battle could hand ruling APC a key state

Location:

NIGERIA

President Bola Tinubu’s All Progressive Congress (APC) retained control over Imo and Kogi, while the opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP) kept its hold over Bayelsa…

Congo heads towards a contested election

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

President Felix Tshisekedi seeks re-election after coming to power five years ago in controversial circumstances. There are credible fears that these polls could prove equally…