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EU and UK rules on financial trading will diverge

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INTERNATIONAL

Some of these rules will directly impact UK-based financial services firms enmeshed in UK markets, though the United Kingdom aspires to diverge from the common regulatory regime…

Early Argentine economic successes are unsustainable

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ARGENTINA

The government has posted the first fiscal surplus in years, inflation has declined and foreign currency reserves have risen from USD21.0bn in mid-December to USD28.5bn. However…

China’s local governments will accumulate hidden debt

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CHINA

Local governments’ fiscal positions have become increasingly untenable post-pandemic amid a property market downturn. Record numbers of local government financing vehicles (LGFVs…

China’s property downturn resolution will take years

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CHINA

The housing market is experiencing its largest downturn, triggered by government action in 2020 to limit financial risks from the property sector by introducing debt ceilings for…

Shipping is vulnerable to more severe disruption ahead

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INT

Shippers are being forced to take longer routes or pay higher insurance premiums, increasing costs, disrupting supply chains and absorbing the post-pandemic increase in shipping…

Frente Amplio merger will not solve Chile challenges

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CHILE

The FA, led by President Gabriel Boric, has suffered several important setbacks since he took office in March 2022.

Foreign exchange shortages will persist in Guyana

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GUYANA

These difficulties have arisen despite the sharp rise in oil output to nearly 143 million barrels last year, from which the government received some USD1.6bn in revenues. Oil…

Amazon rainforest faces existential climate risk

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LATIN AMERICA

The situation, which began in northern regions, quickly spread, affecting the entire basin by September. Since January, large areas of the basin have been in a state of…

AI will transform supply chains

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INTERNATIONAL

Rapid AI adoption in industrial and commercial supply chains is enabling companies in industries as diverse as retailing, auto manufacturing and food and beverage production to be…

Gulf economies are on a stable track despite risks

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GULF STATES

The IMF has revised downwards its forecast for Saudi GDP growth in 2024 to 2.7% but raised its 2025 forecast to 5.5%. This reflects a positive medium-term outlook for the Gulf…