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Rabat’s maritime sector will help geopolitical aims

Location:

MOROCCO

Existing conditions facilitate this: the country's open economy is highly dependent on foreign trade, it enjoys access to Mediterranean and Atlantic routes and ongoing…

Chinese firms will expand presence in South-east Asia

Location:

CHINA/SOUTH-EAST ASIA

South-east Asia maintained its position as the largest recipient (40%) of China’s total Asia-Pacific engagement, which was valued at USD14.8bn, up USD12.4bn from 2022. In recent…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Geopolitics of AI technical standards will heat up

Location:

INT

This divergence has made the question of AI-related technical standards a particular area of commercial and geopolitical interest. China's priorities lie more in creating a market…

Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

Location:

GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

Eastern Europe's rate policies diverge with Czech cut

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

Gold rally has momentum but miners will miss out

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The 18% increase since the beginning of the year has been fuelled by expectations of monetary easing, recurrent geopolitical tensions, Chinese economic woes, and greater…

Zambia edges towards a resolution of its debt crisis

Location:

ZAMBIA

The deal also appears to have satisfied official creditors, which had blocked an earlier deal on the basis that it granted bondholders more favourable terms than official…

Gulf economies are on a stable track despite risks

Location:

GULF STATES

The IMF has revised downwards its forecast for Saudi GDP growth in 2024 to 2.7% but raised its 2025 forecast to 5.5%. This reflects a positive medium-term outlook for the Gulf…

End of post-1945 economic order bodes ill for growth

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The system of international institutions to promote cooperation and open trade was built on the political preferences of a group of the world's wealthiest states. Over time, the…