Search results

EU/UK financial trading risks need close monitoring

Location:

EU/UK

Hedge funds are systemically important participants in financial markets and their preference for leverage amplifies their impact, especially when interest rate changes prompt…

Climate needs and debt to hit lower-income states hard

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Debt distress is related to both global financial conditions -- such as the strength of the US dollar -- and growing climate vulnerabilities. Greater attention and funding to…

Turkey will reduce inflation gradually

Location:

TURKEY

Although the central bank has increased interest rates substantially since June 2023, the effects on economic activity and inflation have been limited. Prices and policy…

Brazil renewables will gain priority amid challenges

Location:

BRAZIL

Brazil has one of the cleanest energy matrixes in the world by international standards. However, the production of oil and oil derivatives continues to grow, and the country is…

Commercial property poses risks for narrow focus banks

Location:

EUROPE

Banks in larger EU states are heavily exposed to European and US CRE markets, which have further to fall in 2024. Writedowns are underway, dealing a blow to sentiment and harming…

EU and UK rules on financial trading will diverge

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Some of these rules will directly impact UK-based financial services firms enmeshed in UK markets, though the United Kingdom aspires to diverge from the common regulatory regime…

China’s local governments will accumulate hidden debt

Location:

CHINA

Local governments’ fiscal positions have become increasingly untenable post-pandemic amid a property market downturn. Record numbers of local government financing vehicles (LGFVs…

Ukraine cyberdefences will have impact beyond Russia

Location:

INT

A few Russian cyberattacks directed at Ukrainian satellite and mobile infrastructure have been disruptive, but many more have seemingly been thwarted. This indicates both that…

Israel-Palestinian Hamas Gaza war has deep roots

Location:

PALESTINIANS/ISRAEL

The unusual attack by a member of the premier’s own party references long-standing divisions within Israel’s right wing about the decision to evacuate Gaza settlements nearly two…

Jordan’s foreign policy will echo domestic Gaza risk

Location:

JORDAN

The Israel-Hamas conflict looms large in Jordanian public opinion, presenting possible domestic challenges to the government. It also places pressure on core foreign policy…