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Tourism to drive Belize economic growth amid slowdown

Location:

BELIZE

Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

China will shape Hong Kong’s economic trajectory

Location:

HONG KONG

It has also become very focused on services. With Beijing’s strong intervention in Hong Kong’s political affairs and deep involvement in its service businesses, the Special…

Italy's rejection of ESM reforms will continue

Location:

EU/ITALY

Reforms to the ESM, which is the EU’s main bailout fund, were agreed by member states in 2021 but implementation has been halted by Italian opposition. The vote exposed divisions…

Weaker finance context would test all emerging markets

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

These markets are benefitting from the softer US dollar and improved investor perceptions of central bank credibility. However, destabilising factors loom on the horizon.

Chilean government's pension 'win' will prove limited

Location:

CHILE

However, its key provision -- an increase in the system’s defined contribution -- was rejected by the Lower House. The government will have to negotiate key parts of the bill…

Niger will look to Western partners to boost security

Location:

NIGER

This represents a key success for Nigerien President Mohamed Bazoum’s policy of leveraging strong relations with Western partners as a core element in his security strategy to…

Argentina stabilisation plan will prove challenging

Location:

ARGENTINA

With Milei now predicting six months of stagflation and up to two years to reduce inflation from triple digits, dollarisation appears to have been shelved. Instead, he seems…

MINUSMA expulsion may aggravate Malian instability

Location:

MALI

MINUSMA currently comprises some 15,000 soldiers and police. The decision follows a long trend of deteriorating relations between Mali’s junta and its international partners.

Middle East and North Africa will lead tourist rebound

Location:

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

The Middle East has been a key market in the post-pandemic rebound in global tourism, boosted by one-off events in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in 2022. GCC states are…

Northern Irish economic gains are not guaranteed

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Efforts to attract foreign investment to Northern Ireland have so far failed to bring about the desired results, owing to long-term issues that undermine investment, including low…