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Pressure on Japan’s prime minister will mount

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JAPAN

This hurts Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s credibility within the LDP and the wider nation. A change of government following the next general election would be the first in over…

Oil price moves have limited impact on wider inflation

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INTERNATIONAL

In reality, the oil price has less influence on inflationary trends and expectations today than in earlier decades, partly because central banks have greater credibility and…

Carbon offsets face credibility issues globally

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INTERNATIONAL

This system is at the heart of corporate ‘net zero’ pledges. However, offsets are also controversial, with critics claiming that they are not just ineffective, but sometimes even…

Inflation in Eastern Europe will slow monetary easing

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EASTERN EUROPE

The unexpected decision adds significant momentum to Central Europe’s monetary easing campaign, which began in May when Hungary’s National Bank (MNB) reduced its benchmark rate…

Kosovo-Serbia crisis will undermine EU credibility

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KOSOVO/SERBIA

The West has been traditionally supportive of Kosovo, having backed the country’s independence from Serbia in 2008. However, it now blames Kosovo's prime minister, Albin Kurti…

Russia will stay in Africa after Wagner mutiny

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AFRICA

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has attempted to reassure Wagner’s African clients that operations will continue as normal. However, reports have emerged of considerable…

Flawed Sierra Leone vote will bring few consequences

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SIERRA LEONE

Bio won with 56.2% of the vote, just above the 55% threshold required to win in the first round. The SLPP won 81 of the 135 directly elected parliamentary seats. However…

Business may struggle to ease South Africa’s crises

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SOUTH AFRICA

However, sceptics still doubt whether essentially political problems can be adequately addressed by technocratic inputs alone, without broader reforms to the ANC, the government…

China slowdown looms over global GDP growth

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INTERNATIONAL

The Chinese slowdown will also affect many developing countries that rely on raw materials exports to China and have already been impacted by sharp rises in interest rates, as…

UK inflation dilemma will challenge policy and markets

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UNITED KINGDOM

The UK economy has struggled more than its EU and North American counterparts since the pandemic, and the Bank of England (BoE) has been criticised for initially underplaying the…