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US Democrats may put votes at risk over Israel support

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US

One aspect of the challenge now facing Biden involves domestic politics. Congressional Democrats overwhelmingly support Israel’s response to the October 7 attack by Hamas, but the…

JNIM may expand in Burkina Faso's Centre-East region

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BURKINA FASO

This occurs as the jihadist insurgency in Burkina Faso has escalated significantly. Government recruitment of communal militias in late 2022 has led to ethnic cleansing in some…

US foreign policy rhetoric may mask closer positions

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UNITED STATES

This year’s campaign rhetoric will amply differences between the two presidential candidates. Distinctions between them are stark on many issues, but in some areas of foreign…

Creation of Liberian war crimes court may face hurdles

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LIBERIA

President Joseph Boakai is now authorised to submit a legal framework for the courts’ establishment back to the legislature to pass into law.

Israeli-Arab normalisation will freeze, not reverse

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ISRAEL/MIDDLE EAST

Deepening Gulf-Israel normalisation -- and particularly heavy US-backed efforts to advance a deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia -- set the context for the Hamas attack against…

Bleak economic indicators will be the norm in Sudan

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SUDAN

Nevertheless, for the first time since the war broke out, the central bank has presented a monetary policy strategy and the finance ministry a budget.

Egypt will face multiple risks in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

This will make for a challenging start of President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi’s third term, after he is inevitably re-elected in December this year. Meanwhile, the government will also…

Negotiations to end Yemen’s conflict may yet surprise

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YEMEN

This follows statements on August 4 by a member of the Huthi-led Ansar Allah movement that there is optimism surrounding Saudi-Huthi talks. These developments come despite recent…

Ethiopia’s commitment to transitional justice may fade

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ETHIOPIA

Ethiopia has campaigned for an end to the ICHREE’s mandate by touting a draft transitional justice policy as an alternative to international oversight.

South Sudan elections may face further delays

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SOUTH SUDAN

However, despite considerable progress towards new electoral legislation, senior leaders from the ruling Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (SPLM) are already suggesting the…