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China’s army will step up reform efforts

Location:

CHINA

This was consistent with a long-running emphasis on preparing the PLA for future warfare that involves new types of informational and technological dynamics. One effect will be to…

Regional tensions threaten West African food security

Location:

WEST AFRICA

This could worsen to an estimated 49.5 million people by mid-year as the lean season sets in between harvests. Meanwhile, over 100 million people could face food insecurity if…

Stalled Nigerian jihadist expansion may recommence

Location:

NIGERIA

For instance, ISWAP-claimed attacks in central Nigeria have declined precipitously from 20 in 2022 to just three so far in 2023. A similar trend applies for other jihadists…

Intra-Gulf tensions may rise again

Location:

GULF STATES

This closely follows a summit between the Central Asian republics and the GCC in July and a GCC-US foreign ministerial meeting in June. Intra-Gulf ties have improved somewhat…

Myanmar junta is at a crossroads

Location:

MYANMAR

The military government has in recent months lost considerable territory to its battlefield opponents, including ethnic armed organisations (EAOs) that have long fought the…

Iraqi provincial polls will boost incumbent control

Location:

IRAQ

The vote will reinstate provincial councils that were dissolved in 2019, which will in turn choose new provincial governors. The government is determined to hold an effective…

Emirati economic cohesion could gradually increase

Location:

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

On November 7-8, senior Emirati officials gathered in Abu Dhabi for an annual meeting focusing on diversifying the economy, chiefly away from reliance on Abu Dhabi's oil, an…

Algeria’s UNSC seat will bolster its global standing

Location:

ALGERIA

Securing the UNSC seat in June represented a victory for Algeria’s diplomatic efforts at a time when the country wants to showcase a more engaged attitude in international affairs…

US infrastructure cybersecurity is improving slowly

Location:

US

Much of this work must be done by subnational and private sector actors, including companies, and state and local governments. The latter have made measured progress on ramping up…

Yemen's Huthis will have little interest in compromise

Location:

YEMEN

It governs territory that is home to around 65-70% of the Yemeni population. With a coherent ideological programme, it has more control and unity than the Aden-based…