This issue having been largely studied in the past, the first part of the paper will present a review of these analyses. Then in the second part, it will ask if these ideas may help in predicting future major economic crises and related international conflicts. It is a delicate task, as it is as difficult to show subsequently a link between economic cycles and major wars as to predict future cyclical phenomena on the world economic and political scene.
Coulomb, F., Bensahel-Perrin, L. and Fontanel, J. (2011), "Economists' Controversies about the Causality between War and Economic Cycles", Chatterji, M., Bo, C. and Misra, R. (Ed.) Frontiers of Peace Economics and Peace Science (Contributions to Conflict Management, Peace Economics and Development, Vol. 16), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Bingley, pp. 85-97. https://doi.org/10.1108/S1572-8323(2011)0000016010Download as .RIS
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