Mali's junta may not compromise in northern conflict

Significance

Meanwhile, the location of the fighting along the Algerian border has escalated diplomatic tensions between Bamako and Algiers. The rebels have also exploited their victory to strengthen ties with armed groups in neighbouring Niger.

Impacts

• The junta will be in no rush to return power to civilian rule.
• Authorities may seek to increase control over gold mining for reasons of both sovereignty and boosting revenues.
• The army and its Russian auxiliaries may resort to another show of force around Tinzaouatene to retaliate for the ambush.