NDP move leaves Canadian government more vulnerable

Significance

The NDP will now decide how it will vote in each ‘confidence and supply’ vote, in which a loss for the government would precipitate a general election. While the move may not result in a general election this year, it increases the pressure on Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government.

Impacts

• The NDP move will likely boost the party’s fundraising in the short term and energise its volunteers.
• Hopes of an early election should also benefit the Conservatives, who are already in a strong position in terms of support and funds.
• The Bloc Quebecois will not support Trudeau remaining in power, as they are eager to win more seats in Quebec from the Liberals.
• The NDP and Liberals are now fighting for centre and centre-left votes, with each claiming to be best placed to frustrate the Conservatives.