Thiam may improve opposition chances in Ivory Coast

Significance

This follows the August 1 death of long-term party leader, former President Henri Konan Bedie. Manoeuvring over the future leadership of the ruling Rally of Houphouetists for Democracy and Peace (RHDP) is expected to intensify in the coming year in advance of the 2025 presidential elections.

Impacts

• Thiam’s electoral chances will be boosted if he can gather support from other opposition parties in advance of the election.
• A Ouattara fourth-term bid could generate considerable popular unrest.
• Government spending may increase considerably in advance of the elections.