Afghan move may help reduce Pakistani Taliban threat

Significance

The move will have significant effect on the Pakistani Taliban Movement (TTP), a long-time enemy of the Pakistani state that has relied heavily on Afghan bases to carry out its operations. TTP attacks on Pakistan have become a key source of tension between Islamabad and Kabul.

Impacts

• The TTP will try to strengthen its position within Pakistan, although that would make it more vulnerable to Pakistani counterterrorism.
• Pakistan will be on high alert for an increase in militant attacks ahead of the general election that is set to take place soon.
• Jihadist groups besides the TTP that have an Afghan presence will be wary about what implications the fatwa may have for them.