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ASEAN-China sea code remains years away

Thursday, August 3, 2023

Significance

China’s continued assertion of its expansive claims not only creates friction between Beijing and the South-east Asian claimants but also increases US-Chinese tensions.

Impacts

  • China will keep sending survey ships, coast guard vessels and its maritime militia to the exclusive economic zones of ASEAN claimant states.
  • Friction between the Philippines -- one of the ASEAN claimants -- and China will rise as Manila tightens its alliance with Washington.
  • US military forces will increase the frequency of their operations in the South China Sea, angering Beijing.

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