Topic set to be main challenger to Gonzalez in Ecuador

Significance

Eight candidates have registered to participate in the presidential election. Luisa Gonzalez, who will run for the 'correista' Citizen’s Revolution (RC), will be one of the favourites. However, her path to the presidency might be blocked. Political newcomer Jan Topic looks set to be her main challenger.

Impacts

• International investment will remain muted until a new president is installed.
• A second round of presidential elections would prolong political and economic uncertainty.
• The election outcome will have a major impact on the future direction of economic policy.
• A harsh gang crackdown in El Salvador, which has reduced crime there substantially, will serve as a potential strategy model for Topic.