Senegal's Macky Sall is likely to run for a third term

Significance

Its principal objective is to prevent President Macky Sall from running for or winning a third presidential term in the February 2024 presidential election. F24 is also demanding the release of ‘political detainees’ arrested during recent anti-government demonstrations.

Impacts

• Sall will likely face little substantive regional or international pressure against a third term bid.
• Divisions among top opposition figures or their legal ineligibility could strengthen Sall’s electoral chances.
• Public discontent over high living costs could further fuel protests.
• Sall may seek to delay an announcement as long as possible.
• The country may experience violent urban protests if opposition leader Ousmane Sonko is ruled ineligible to run for office.