Yemeni truce talks may not launch a peace process

Significance

Saudi Arabia’s willingness to engage in direct talks with the Huthis reflects the seriousness of efforts to renew the ceasefire. Saudi Arabia’s interest in reaching a positive outcome is underlined by the senior level of the leader involved in negotiations. This is creating optimism that the truce will be renewed.

Impacts

• UN Special Envoy Hans Gruenberg will remain engaged and ready to build on Saudi-Huthi contacts.
• The humanitarian situation is dire, and pledges of international assistance are likely to fall far short of need.
• Al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula will be increasingly active.