Mounting economic problems endanger Moldova stability

Significance

Sandu called for "maximum vigilance", although it is unclear when the coup attempt was due to happen. The announcement follows Prime Minister Natalia Gavrilita's surprise resignation on February 10. Sandu and the ruling Action and Solidarity Party (PAS) are popular in Europe but their economic management is challenged at home.

Impacts

• Russian missiles passing through Moldovan airspace will add to bilateral tensions.
• Poverty, a gloomy economic outlook and a prolonged energy crisis will fuel populism.
• Opposition will take new forms if the Socialist and Shor parties redirect voters to emerging new forces.
• Unable to offer quick economic fixes, PAS will find the prospect of EU accession a more difficult sell.