Rajoelina faces political headwinds in Madagascar

Significance

He faces potentially serious electoral handicaps in the form of major corruption allegations against members of his close entourage, as well as the economic and political fallout from the Ukraine war, natural disasters and COVID-19.

Impacts

• Many of those accused of corruption who are close to Rajoelina may escape prosecution.
• The government will struggle to reach its electricity output goals.
• Concerns over governance may complicate government relations with Western donors.