France’s LR remains split on whether to support Macron

Significance

LR has become a marginal force in French politics and is deeply divided over whether to support President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist government or to obstruct it, deepening the deadlock in national politics and increasing the possibility of fresh parliamentary elections.

Impacts

• Social unrest is likely as the cost-of-living crisis worsens.
• French policy will continue on the right-wing path under the 2017-22 government.
• A further decline in support for LR would enhance the electoral prospects of the far-right National Rally.