Investment would flood into Libya if politics settled

Significance

Moscow's straitened circumstances, and the increased Western interest in Libya as an oil and gas supplier, created incentives for Libyans and Westerners alike to explore increased cooperation. However, economic ties in the country do not always follow the pattern set by diplomacy.

Impacts

• Foreign relations will be helped by mutual interests in business and investment opportunities.
• Holding elections will be the political focus of international mediation.
• Divisions in the international community will hobble mediation.